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Politico: Obama bets on the ‘House’ card

By MARK PENN Published February 20, 2009 If the $800 billion stimulus bill works, Barack Obama will go down as a great president who took bold and decisive action at a time of growing national crisis — and the midterm elections, and even his reelection, will be a breeze. If […]

February 20, 2009

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Politico: Most affluent voters key to Obama sweep

By MARK PENN Published November 11, 2008 Barack Obama promised he would lower taxes for 95 percent of Americans and presumably raise them for the 5 percent who benefited most under President Bush’s tax policies. But, remarkably, the most affluent 5 percent supported Obama and that was perhaps the key […]

November 11, 2008

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Politico: Transition to new administration tricky

By MARK PENN Published November 4, 2008 The presidential campaign, in the end, had no October surprises beyond the worsening economic crisis. No game-changing ads. No candidate slip-ups of any magnitude. And so this election looks pretty straightforward — moderate voters have switched to the Democratic column, and change is […]

November 4, 2008

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Politico: Young moderates – A fragile coalition

By MARK PENN Published October 28, 2008 This election promises to offer a fundamental realignment that could stand for decades to come as young moderate voters become the driving force for change in the presidential race. These more socially tolerant, opportunity-oriented voters are the ones likely to put Barack Obama […]

October 28, 2008

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Politico: What’s ‘in’ is now ‘out’

By MARK PENN Published October 14, 2008 As Monty Python used to say, “No one expects the Spanish Inquisition” — which is another way of saying that no one expects the unexpected. And recent unanticipated political and financial events are a good reminder that everything could change in one fell […]

October 14, 2008

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Politico: Bailout vote is proof: The center holds

By MARK PENN Published October 7, 2008 My polling over the years has found that about two-thirds of Democrats define themselves as moderate, while two-thirds of Republicans see themselves as conservative. That polling trend was mirrored in the initial unsuccessful Sept. 29 House vote on the financial bailout proposal: Democrats […]

October 7, 2008

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Politico: Obama has advantage on economy

By MARK PENN Published September 29, 2008 The financial crisis has redefined the presidential race, bringing into stark relief the candidate who can deal with the complexities of the global markets and return the country to prosperity over the next four years. The race is no longer about change, experience, […]

September 29, 2008

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Politico: Candidates must come out swinging

By MARK PENN Published September 24, 2008 The two prep teams for the presidential debates are moving into high gear, readying their candidates for the ring, knowing the stakes are probably the highest since the Kennedy-Nixon face-offs played a decisive role in the 1960 election. The winner of Friday’s presidential […]

September 24, 2008

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Politico: So goes the nation: New electoral map

By MARK PENN Published September 17, 2008 The outcome of the 2008 election will, like the last two presidential campaigns, come down to a small number of voters in a few places. Yet those votes will be affected by big, overarching events such as the emergence of Republican vice presidential […]

September 17, 2008

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Politico: Penn on who won at conventions

By MARK PENN Published September 9, 2008 Here’s my post-convention take on the most important questions likely to decide the general election. Who won the conventions? No one — or everyone — won. The post-convention polls suggest that the party gatherings did not fundamentally change the race — this is […]

September 9, 2008

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